As Halloween approaches, historical price data from 2020–2024 shows that AAVE, Ethereum (ETH), and Dogecoin (DOGE) often rallied in the week following October 31.
While daily movements were mixed on Halloween itself, each of these coins ended the first week of November higher in every year analyzed. This trend suggests a recurring short-term rebound pattern that traders might recognize during late October volatility.
The analysis is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or imply future performance.
AAVE: Consistent Post-Halloween Momentum
AAVE has demonstrated the most consistent post-Halloween strength. It posted gains in the week after Halloween every year from 2020 to 2024, with especially strong rallies in 2020 and 2023.
| Year | Oct 31 Close (USD) | 1-Day Δ | 7D Before → Halloween | 7D After Halloween |
| 2020 | 31.10 | +6.58% | −25.17% | +22.99% |
| 2021 | 317.76 | −2.91% | −2.23% | +0.30% |
| 2022 | 83.88 | −1.62% | −5.73% | +3.68% |
| 2023 | 83.69 | −1.12% | −1.09% | +18.64% |
| 2024 | 156.23 | +3.14% | +4.48% | +11.20% |
Across five years, AAVE rose in the seven days after Halloween by an average of 11.8%. The coin often rebounded following brief late-October dips, hinting at cyclical short-term accumulation.
Ethereum: Moderate But Reliable Gains
Ethereum’s performance around Halloween has been steadier but less explosive. From 2020 through 2024, ETH posted positive 7-day returns after Halloween every year, averaging roughly +4.5%.
| Year | Oct 31 Close (USD) | 1-Day Δ | 7D Before → Halloween | 7D After Halloween |
| 2020 | 382.90 | −0.92% | −6.36% | +8.63% |
| 2021 | 4,324.61 | −2.22% | +8.37% | +4.68% |
| 2022 | 1,591.05 | −1.75% | +16.60% | +2.25% |
| 2023 | 1,809.64 | +0.64% | +8.72% | +4.77% |
| 2024 | 2,657.61 | +0.72% | +5.29% | +2.37% |
Ethereum tends to enter November with renewed buying interest. In four of the past five years, it followed a minor Halloween pullback with a short-term rally—often aligning with broader market recoveries.
Dogecoin: The Most Volatile Halloween Performer
Dogecoin’s Halloween-week performance is the most dramatic. Its average post-Halloween gain was 5.6%, but it experienced far greater volatility than AAVE or ETH.
| Year | Oct 31 Close (USD) | 1-Day Δ | 7D Before → Halloween | 7D After Halloween |
| 2020 | 0.002590 | +0.15% | −2.15% | +6.45% |
| 2021 | 0.268298 | −7.10% | +6.68% | −2.16% |
| 2022 | 0.117565 | −1.99% | +94.75% | −2.48% |
| 2023 | 0.069671 | +0.46% | +4.01% | +9.64% |
| 2024 | 0.168414 | −4.43% | +20.38% | +16.41% |
The standout year was 2022, when DOGE surged almost 95% in the week leading into Halloween, driven by Elon Musk’s Twitter acquisition.
Despite its volatility, DOGE still posted net gains in the week after Halloween in three of five years.
Pattern or Coincidence?
From 2020–2024, all three altcoins recorded net positive average returns in the week following Halloween.
Market-wide, this period often coincides with renewed liquidity, end-of-month repositioning, and post-quarter trading flows.
While past performance doesn’t predict future results, the data suggests that late October weakness has historically preceded short bursts of strength—especially for altcoins like AAVE, ETH, and DOGE.
