Cardano price has dropped to its lowest level in nearly a year, testing key support around $0.50 as participants anticipate whether a rebound or deeper correction will follow.

Cardano’s recent slump has rattled participants as ADA revisits price zones unseen in nearly a year. Despite the sharp sell-off, many see this as more than just capitulation; it’s a potential reset point where long-term holders quietly reaccumulate.

ADA Back to 1-Year Lows

Cardano’s price has dropped to $0.56, marking its lowest level in nearly a year according to Brave New Coin data. The 24-hour decline of over 6% reflects intensified selling pressure following a sustained series of lower highs since early October. Current market cap stands near $20.4 billion, with daily volume exceeding $1.7 billion, suggesting a mix of panic selling and short-term repositioning.

Cardano price is trading around $0.56, down -6.61% in the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin

Technically, ADA Cardano price has now breached its 200-day moving average, exposing downside risk toward $0.50 to $0.52. A clean reclaim above $0.60 could be the first sign of short-term recovery, but without a surge in volume, the trend remains fragile. The macro structure continues to compress into a long-term range, where deeper wicks may still appear before stronger accumulation begins.

Buying Interest Returns as Cardano Support Holds

CryptoPulse highlights that ADA has entered a critical demand zone between $0.50 to $0.55, an area that historically triggered multiple reversals. The descending trendline continues to cap upside momentum, yet the price has repeatedly bounced within this green support block.

Cardano price continues to defend its key demand zone near $0.50, signaling renewed buying interest after multiple successful retests. Source: CryptoPulse via X

From a structural standpoint, ADA’s ability to stay above $0.50 keeps the potential alive for a rebound towards $0.70 to $0.80, aligning with the mid-range resistance zone. A decisive breakout above $0.66 would shift the short-term bias bullish, especially if volume follows through.

Cardano Price Analysis: Building a Strong Base at $0.53

Crypto analyst RISK’s outlook shows Cardano price consolidating around $0.5348 after a sharp decline, forming what appears to be a potential accumulation structure. The chart outlines two possible paths: a brief liquidity dip into $0.48 to $0.50 before reclaiming higher ground, or a steady rise if buyers defend current levels.

ADA appears to be forming a solid base near $0.53, hinting at early accumulation that could precede a broader bullish reversal. Source: RISK via X

Momentum indicators are stabilizing, with volume hinting at early accumulation phases. Should support hold, the next major upside objective lies at $0.85 to $1.00. The base formation at this range mirrors earlier cycles where prolonged consolidation preceded impulsive breakouts, suggesting that Cardano may be setting the stage for a larger trend reversal heading into 2026.

Fractal Analysis Hints at a Rebound Opportunity

Price revisits an intriguing fractal comparison that mirrors Cardano’s previous exponential rally. Before its last major move, Cardano price tested the golden pocket five times without closing below it. This time, it has tapped the same retracement level six times, still holding firm.

Cardano’s repeated defense of the golden pocket mirrors its pre-rally behavior from past cycles, suggesting a potential setup for another major impulse wave. Source: Navir333 via X

This repeated defense of the golden pocket indicates strong underlying demand despite ongoing market fatigue. If the pattern holds, Cardano price could once again trigger a wave-three-style impulse from this region.

Final Thoughts: Will ADA Close 2025 Bullish?

Cardano’s current phase represents a critical inflection point, structurally weak yet technically resilient. The multi-test golden pocket, solid ETF-style inflows, and consistent support near $0.50 all highlight that while sentiment has cooled, accumulation may be quietly taking place.

For a confirmed bullish close to 2025, ADA must reclaim the $0.70 to $0.80 range and secure weekly closes above $0.85 to reestablish momentum. Failure to hold $0.50 would, however, open room toward deeper corrective targets near $0.40. In essence, Cardano price prediction stands at the crossroads of capitulation and recovery, where patient holders may once again find opportunity.