Sui Price Forecast: SUI reclaims $2.00 despite DeFI TVL logging 15% drop

Markets 2025-11-13 10:15

Sui trades above $2.00, supported by a strengthening short-term technical structure.

  • Sui DeFi TVL extends decline to $1.35 billion as risk-off sentiment persists in the ecosystem.

  • Retail demand remains subdued, with SUI's Open Interest steady at $781 million.

Sui (SUI) is rising in tandem with the cryptocurrency market, trading above $2.00 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The bullish wave behind Sui's 3.5% increase followed a correction that erased gains from $2.20 to $1.98 the previous day.

Sui price gains despite falling DeFi TVL

Interest in Sui's Decentralized Finance (DeFi) sectors continues to decline, as evidenced by the steady drop in its total value locked (TVL). According to DefiLlama data, TVL, which measures the notional value of all staked assets on the protocol, is down by 15% to $1.35 billion over the past 24 hours.

Sui's TVL, which hit a record high of $2.63 billion on October 9, has maintained a downtrend, reflecting the risk-off sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market.

Traders are withdrawing assets from staking protocols, indicating waning confidence in the token and the ecosystem's growth potential. As these tokens re-enter circulation, selling pressure increases, raising the likelihood of a gradual decline in Sui's price.

Sui Price Forecast: SUI reclaims .00 despite DeFI TVL logging 15% drop

Sui DeFi TVL metric | Source: DefiLlama

Meanwhile, retail interest in Sui has remained significantly muted since mid-October, suggesting that investors are not convinced the Layer-1 token can sustain a short-term recovery.

The futures Open Interest (OI) has fallen to approximately $781 million on Wednesday, from $835 million on Tuesday and $1.84 billion on October 1. OI needs to rise steadily to support Sui's recovery. Otherwise, the downtrend could continue below $2.00.

Sui Price Forecast: SUI reclaims .00 despite DeFI TVL logging 15% drop
Sui Open Interest | Source: CoinGlass

The OI-Weighted Funding Rate metric has extended the decline to -0007% at the time of writing, suggesting that traders are increasingly piling into short positions and contributing to selling pressure.

Sui Price Forecast: SUI reclaims .00 despite DeFI TVL logging 15% drop
Sui OI-Weighted Funding Rate metric | Source: CoinGlass

Technical outlook: Sui holds key support

Sui is trading above $2.00 at the time of writing on Wednesday, driven by positive sentiment in the larger crypto market. The Relative Strength Index's (RSI) rebound to 37 from 35 the previous days suggests that bearish momentum is easing.

A buy signal from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator since Sunday is encouraging investors to buy SUI, anticipating further price increases.

The next key resistance lies at $2.20, which was tested on Tuesday, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.62 and the 200-day EMA at $3.06.

Sui Price Forecast: SUI reclaims .00 despite DeFI TVL logging 15% drop
SUI/USDT daily chart

Still, Sui's position below key moving averages, such as the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day EMAs, highlights a sticky bearish sentiment. A significant shift in dynamics is required to sustain the short-term uptrend and favour Sui's bullish outlook.

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This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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