BNB is attempting to stabilise after a clear downtrend, but market conviction remains limited as both price action and derivatives data show hesitation.

While buyers stepped in near volatility support, the broader structure still leans cautious, with indicators showing that traders are not yet confident enough to build meaningful exposure.

Open Interest Continues to Fall Despite Price Attempts to Rebound

The aggregated open interest chart reinforces the theme of weak conviction. OI steadily trended downward across the entire period, even during moments when the price attempted modest upward recoveries. This persistent decline in futures participation indicates that traders were more interested in closing positions than opening new ones.

Source: Open Interest

Falling open interest typically means participants are reducing exposure due to uncertainty or recent volatility. Liquidations during the earlier selloff likely contributed to the decline, further weakening market structure. Even as BNB tried to lift off support, the lack of rising OI suggests that new capital is not flowing in, implying that these bounces are driven primarily by short-term spot buying rather than sustained bullish participation.

The behaviour of OI is crucial here—it shows that traders remain cautious, potentially waiting for clearer signals before committing to new directional positions. Until OI begins to rise alongside price, recoveries may remain fragile.

Modest Daily Gain but Remains Below Key Levels

According to BraveNewCoin data, the coin is trading near $864.69, up 0.38% over the past 24 hours, with a market cap of $118.97 billion and daily trading volume of $1.50 billion. Despite the green daily performance, the coin’s price remains well below the upper levels seen earlier in the month and continues to exhibit signs of cooling momentum.

The available supply of 137.7 million tokens places the token among the top assets in the market, but its price performance still reflects caution as liquidity conditions stabilise after recent volatility. The modest 24-hour gain aligns with the technical picture of slow, hesitation-driven consolidation rather than a breakout.

Bollinger Bands Show Contracting Volatility as Market Searches for a Bottom

TradingView’s Bollinger Bands analysis reinforces the cautious sentiment. BNB is currently trading near $853, positioned below the middle band around $913, which continues to act as dynamic resistance. A recent bounce off the lower band near $805 shows that buyers defended volatility support, but the compressed candles under the basis line suggest momentum has not shifted decisively to the upside.

Source: TradingView

Earlier in November, the coin experienced significant volatility expansion following its rally toward $1,375, with the subsequent reversal leading to a sharp contraction phase. As the bands narrow, the market appears to be transitioning into either an accumulation zone or a prolonged consolidation range.

For bulls, a daily close above the basis line is essential. Clearing $913–$1,022 would open the door for a retest of the $1,000+ zone. If the lower-band support at $805 fails, the token risks deeper downside toward $750, a major macro support zone.

BNB Outlook

The charts show early signs of bottoming, but meaningful confirmation is still missing. Until price breaks above mid-band resistance and open interest begins to rise again, the asset is likely to remain range-bound with a slight bearish tilt. A volatility breakout in either direction will determine the next major trend.