Bitcoin Price Prediction: Analysts Eye $100K Risk

Markets 2025-09-26 10:47

The latest Bitcoin price prediction has traders watching key levels closely after BTC slipped to $111,700 and failed to hold resistance above $113,500. 

The correction comes as whales accelerate selling and liquidation risks mount near the $107,000 zone. 

Despite this bearish pressure, institutional buying and corporate treasuries continue to absorb supply, providing a potential buffer. 

At the same time, the presale of Bitcoin Hyper has smashed through the $18 million milestone, positioning itself as one of the strongest Layer-2 launches of 2025 and a project many believe could shape Bitcoin’s next growth cycle.

Bitcoin Struggles with Resistance and Key Support Levels

Bitcoin has lost momentum after failing to reclaim the $113,500 resistance. Price action shows BTC trading near $111,700, with analysts warning of further downside risk. 

Short-term charts highlight a potential dip toward $107,000, the “max pain” zone tied to a massive $17.5 billion options expiry in two days. 

Historical patterns show Bitcoin often gravitates toward these levels before a reversal, increasing pressure on traders positioned long. 

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Analysts Eye 0K Risk

A break below current support between $112,000–$110,000 could open the door to a sharper drop toward $100,000, an 11% decline from today’s price. 

On the technical side, BTC has slipped below the 50-day SMA at $114,300 and the 100-day SMA at $113,400, confirming bearish momentum. The RSI has also fallen from 61 to 44, reflecting weakening demand. 

However, analysts caution that a quick reversal remains possible if Bitcoin manages to reclaim $116,000, where a large cluster of short positions could be liquidated, fueling a short squeeze.

Whale Selling Intensifies as Institutions Absorb Supply

Data shows Bitcoin whales have sold 147,000 BTC worth $16.5 billion in the past 30 days, marking the largest outflow of the cycle. 

This represents a 2.7% decline in whale balances and the fastest pace of distribution this year. Much of this selling has come from long-term holders active for 6–12 months, with more than 10 transfers of 8,500 BTC each, averaging nearly $10 billion in pressure. 

Analysts warn that this whale exit aligns with a bear flag pattern targeting $100,000. Still, while whales are selling, institutional buyers are stepping in aggressively. Corporate treasuries and ETFs continue to accumulate, providing balance to the market. 

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Analysts Eye 0K Risk

Japanese firm Metaplanet recently acquired 5,419 BTC, becoming the fifth-largest corporate holder. Meanwhile, Michael Saylor’s company added 850 BTC, raising its total stash to 639,835 BTC. 

Reports show that corporations now hold more Bitcoin than ETFs, a structural trend suggesting that even as large holders take profits, demand from institutions is helping absorb excess supply.

Technical Breakdown Points to Bearish Momentum

Charts confirm that Bitcoin is trading within a bearish setup after breaking below $116,000 and validating the daily bear flag pattern. 

Analysts note that support now lies between $112,000 and $110,000, and losing this zone could send BTC to $100,000, a critical technical and psychological level. 

The downside risk is amplified by declining whale balances and weakening RSI levels. However, bulls remain active near $106,000, where buyers could regroup for a rebound. 

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Analysts Eye 0K Risk

Analysts also highlight that corporate treasuries and ETFs are still buying, creating potential structural support. Should BTC extend losses further, technical traders expect volatility to rise significantly, with liquidity clustering near current levels. 

A sudden reversal is still possible if Bitcoin rallies back toward $116,000, which could trigger over $2.7 billion in liquidations of short positions, creating a sharp rally. This leaves the market split between bearish momentum in the short term and structural accumulation in the longer term.

Bitcoin Hyper Presale Fuels Bullish Case for BTC

While traders debate near-term price levels, attention is shifting toward Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER), a Layer-2 scaling solution that has already raised more than $18.1 million in its presale. 

Branded as Bitcoin’s fastest Layer-2 chain, HYPER integrates the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) to unlock high-throughput dApps, DeFi protocols, meme coin markets, and gaming apps directly on Bitcoin. 

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Analysts Eye 0K Risk

Early investors have flocked to the project, with more than $1 million raised in just a week and momentum pushing it toward a $19 million milestone. 

Analysts argue that if even 1% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply, equal to around 195,000 BTC or $22 billion, is locked into Hyper’s ecosystem, it could unlock massive liquidity and demand. 

At its current price of $0.012975 per token, the presale is nearing a price increase, creating urgency for new buyers. 

The bullish case for HYPER lies not only in its ability to expand Bitcoin’s utility beyond a store of value but also in fueling new demand across DeFi and institutional markets. 

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This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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