Standard Chartered Says Bitcoin’s Drop Below $100,000 May Be the Last Ever | US Crypto News

Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.

Grab a coffee and breathe as markets edge into another pivotal moment for Bitcoin (BTC). Some traders brace for a brief stumble below $100,000, while others prepare to buy what could be the final major dip before the next wave of momentum builds

Crypto News of the Day: Standard Chartered Watches Gold Flows, Liquidity, and Technicals for Bitcoin’s Next Big Turn

Geoff Kendrick, Head of FX and Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, believes a short-lived decline below $100,000 is likely for the Bitcoin price. However, he says this could mark the last time Bitcoin ever trades at that level.

“…stay nimble and ready to buy the dip below $100,000 if it comes,” Kendrick urged investors in an email commentary.

He said the potential dip could provide a final entry point before a renewed bull phase. According to Kendrick, three key forces will determine when Bitcoin turns higher:

Gold versus Bitcoin flows,
Liquidity indicators, and
Technical support levels.

Kendrick pointed to a notable pattern between gold and Bitcoin, saying Tuesday’s sharp gold selloff coincided with a strong intra-day bounce in Bitcoin. Kevin Rusher, founder of RAAC, ascribed the selloff to profit-taking, anticipating a prolonged period of price consolidation.

Nevertheless, Rusher says even if the price of gold flatlines, the precious metal will continue to provide risk management and diversification benefits in portfolios.

“Gold’s record run this year is certainly not typical of this asset, but it remains an uncorrelated alternative. However, what’s still missing is the ability to put gold to work easily and earn yield. This would ensure investors don’t just buy gold for protection, but continue holding it over the long term,” Rusher told BeInCrypto.

Meanwhile, Kendrick expects more of this rotation to unfold in the medium term, viewing it as constructive evidence of a market bottom forming.

“This was presumably a sell gold, buy Bitcoin flow…Gold has been outperforming Bitcoin a lot recently… something which has perhaps started to turn,” Kendrick added.

The second factor he’s tracking is liquidity. According to Geoff Kendrick, several measures have mostly been getting tighter, referring to financial conditions that may be constraining risk appetite.

He says the key question is when the US Federal Reserve will consider these conditions “tight” enough to react. This could mean acknowledging the strain or halting its ongoing quantitative tightening (QT) program.

Any sign of easing or a shift in tone could be a major catalyst for Bitcoin and other risk assets. On the technical side, Kendrick emphasized the resilience of Bitcoin’s long-term trend.

“Although I am not a technical analyst, I note that the 50-week moving average in Bitcoin has held since early 2023 (when Bitcoin was $25,000 and I forecast it to reach $100,000 by the end of 2024),” he articulated.

He implied that the level remains a critical zone of support and investor confidence. For 2025, however, Standard Chartered said Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by the end of Q4, as a recent US Crypto News publication reported.

With Bitcoin hovering near historic highs and market volatility intensifying, Kendrick’s outlook captures the mood of cautious optimism spreading across institutional desks.

The next few weeks could define whether the long-awaited liquidity shift finally launches the pioneer crypto into uncharted territory.