Trump warns of $3T refunds as Supreme Court reviews incorrect tariff figures

Markets 2025-11-12 10:07

President Trump said a court ruling against his tariffs will cause “an insurmountable National Security Event” that could be devastating and “possibly non-sustainable” for America.

POTUS Donald Trump insists the Supreme Court was provided with inaccurate figures in the case reviewing his use of tariffs. 

In a post on his Truth Social platform on Tuesday, Trump said the “unwind” of tariffs, including investments already made, planned investments, and the return of funds, could exceed $3 trillion. 

“It would not be possible to ever make up for that kind of a drubbing,” Trump wrote.

The president’s camp is waiting for the Supreme Court to deliver a decision on whether Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose tariffs on imported goods was lawful without a “thumbs up” from Congress.

Small businesses say Trump tariffs are illegal

According to a report from FOX News earlier this year, a number of small American businesses, including toy manufacturers and wine importers, filed a lawsuit accusing Trump of lacking the authority to levy tariffs unilaterally, which was harming their operations.

In May, the Court of International Trade in New York ruled against Trump, stating that “the US Constitution grants Congress exclusive authority to regulate commerce.” The Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Washington, DC, upheld that decision in August.

Now, the Supreme Court, the nation’s highest court, is set to decide whether the tariffs were legal. Last week, business representatives, including Indian-American lawyer Neal Katyal, told the court that the import levies had forced many companies to lay off workers and cut prices.

Trump warns of T refunds as Supreme Court reviews incorrect tariff figures

Source: Truth Social

Trump said on Sunday that the Supreme Court case is “one of the most important in the History of the Country.” 

“If a President is not allowed to use tariffs, we will be at a major disadvantage against all other Countries throughout the World,” the POTUS wrote on his media platform, Truth Social.

US tariffs revenue hit $200 billion

US Treasury data, cited by FOX Business, revealed that America collected more than $213 billion in tariff revenue throughout the months ending September, including monthly totals exceeding $31 billion in August, $17.4 billion in April, and $29 billion in July.

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has projected that tariffs enacted between January and May could reduce federal deficits by about $2.8 trillion over the next decade. CBO also slightly reduced its GDP predictions and made a 0.4 percentage point increase in inflation through 2027.

A separate analysis by the Tax Foundation estimates long-term tariff revenue at around $2.2 trillion, or $1.6 trillion after adjusting for reduced trade and slower growth. 

President Trump does not want the Supreme Court to interfere, as he is adamant about the revenue generated by his tariffs, insisting they will help cut down the ballooning national debt of over $38 trillion.

Over the weekend, Trump suggested the idea of returning tariff revenue to Americans in the form of $2,000 payments. The proposal has no detailed implementation plans, which is why economists warn that the revenue may not be enough to cover the payouts at all.

Speaking with reporters on Monday, Trump said, “We’re going to issue a dividend to our middle-income people and lower-income people of about $2,000. And we’re going to use the remaining tariffs to lower our debt.”

As reported by Cryptopolitan, Treasury Secretary Scott Besant said the $2,000 dividend could take various forms. “It could be just the tax decreases that we are seeing on the president’s agenda. No tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on Social Security, deductibility of auto loans. Those are substantial deductions that are being financed in the tax bill.”

Erica York, vice president of federal tax policy at the Tax Foundation, told news publication NPR that even with conservative assumptions, the plan is financially unworkable. She calculated that issuing $2,000 rebates to individuals earning under $100,000 annually would create at least a $100 billion gap between tariff revenues and the proposed payouts.

Get seen where it counts. Advertise in Cryptopolitan Research and reach crypto’s sharpest investors and builders.

Share to:

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Curated Series

SuperEx Popular Science Articles Column

SuperEx Popular Science Articles Column

This collection features informative articles about SuperEx, aiming to simplify complex cryptocurrency concepts for a wider audience. It covers the basics of trading, blockchain technology, and the features of the SuperEx platform. Through easy-to-understand content, it helps users navigate the world of digital assets with confidence and clarity.

Unstaked related news and market dynamics research

Unstaked related news and market dynamics research

Unstaked (UNSD) is a blockchain platform integrating AI agents for automated community engagement and social media interactions. Its native token supports governance, staking, and ecosystem features. This special feature explores Unstaked’s market updates, token dynamics, and platform development.

XRP News and Research

XRP News and Research

This series focuses on XRP, covering the latest news, market dynamics, and in-depth research. Featured analysis includes price trends, regulatory developments, and ecosystem growth, providing a clear overview of XRP's position and potential in the cryptocurrency market.

How do beginners trade options?How does option trading work?

How do beginners trade options?How does option trading work?

This special feature introduces the fundamentals of options trading for beginners, explaining how options work, their main types, and the mechanics behind trading them. It also explores key strategies, potential risks, and practical tips, helping readers build a clear foundation to approach the options market with confidence.

What are the risks of investing in cryptocurrency?

What are the risks of investing in cryptocurrency?

This special feature covers the risks of investing in cryptocurrency, explaining common challenges such as market volatility, security vulnerabilities, regulatory uncertainties, and potential scams. It also provides analysis of risk management strategies and mitigation techniques, helping readers gain a clear understanding of how to navigate the crypto market safely.