The HBAR price is down almost 18.5% over the past seven days and remains weak on the monthly chart. Even with that decline, HBAR is still clinging to the lower boundary of a falling wedge that has been active since October 10. The wedge itself is a bullish pattern, but the structure is now under pressure.
What stands out today is that the bullish divergence has appeared again — but this time it may matter more.
Recurring Divergences Hint At A Bounce, But Break Risk Remains
The first signal comes from momentum. Between October 11 and November 16, HBAR formed a lower low on the chart while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) formed a higher low. RSI tracks buying strength, and this pattern is a standard bullish divergence. It shows sellers are losing control even though the price keeps slipping. When seen on a daily chart, this type of divergence often leads to trend reversals.
HBAR Price Flashes Bullish Divergence: TradingView
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A similar divergence appeared earlier between October 11 and November 14, but that reversal or even a rebound attempt failed. The weakness in November explains why the HBAR price has been sliding toward wedge support again.
This time, the divergence appears right as the price sits on the last meaningful support inside the wedge. If the lower trend line holds, the setup has a better chance of playing out. But if HBAR closes under the trend line, the wedge breaks, and the price structure turns bearish.
Do note that the lower trend line only has two clear touchpoints, making the downside case stronger in case the market conditions weaken
Why This Divergence Matters More: Big Money Finally Reacts
The difference now comes from the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF). CMF tracks whether large wallets are adding or removing capital. Earlier rebound attempts failed because CMF continued to fall and never confirmed the RSI divergence.
This time, CMF has curled upward after declining steadily since November 10. As long as CMF holds above its trend line, the inflow signal supports the RSI divergence instead of contradicting it. That is why this divergence matters more than the previous one.
Big Money Starts To Flow In: TradingView
If both metrics stay aligned, the rebound structure strengthens for HBAR. If CMF turns lower again, the setup weakens immediately. However, the CMF needs to move above zero to confirm rebound (or even a reversal) strength.
HBAR Price Levels Hold The Key
The HBAR price stands at a key level. A daily candle close below $0.145 breaks the wedge and exposes deeper downside. Failure here sends the price toward lower supports and invalidates the bullish divergence.
To validate the rebound instead, HBAR must clear $0.165. That move is roughly a 10% rise and would confirm that buyers have stepped in after the divergence. A break above $0.165 opens the way toward $0.186, which sits near the wedge’s upper trend line.
HBAR Price Analysis: TradingView
If $0.186 is reclaimed, the falling wedge breaks to the upside, and the HBAR price can attempt a move toward $0.219 or higher.
For now, everything depends on the wedge support holding. If it does, this latest bullish divergence — backed by rising CMF — may be the first one strong enough to matter.
