Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recent decline on Thursday, slipping to around $86,000 after a turbulent week marked by aggressive sell-offs, shifting risk sentiment, and heightened volatility across spot Bitcoin ETF markets.
The pullback has renewed discussions among analysts over whether Bitcoin can recover enough momentum to reclaim higher levels—or attempt a move toward $100,000 before the year ends. Market researchers note that the decline occurred alongside broader weakness across global risk assets, with investors repositioning ahead of upcoming U.S. economic data and year-end liquidity shifts.
Bitcoin Price Today Chart
Bitcoin is trading near $86,036, down 7.35% over the past 24 hours. Daily trading volume has surged past $102 billion, according to Brave New Coin data, suggesting elevated participation despite the sharp correction. The decline also followed a retreat from the $90,000–$91,000 region earlier in the week, contributing to pressure on the overall BTC market cap.
Bitcoin was trading at around 86,036, down 7.35% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Bitcoin price via Brave New Coin
Analysts say the recent drop is part of a broader consolidation phase rather than evidence of structural weakness. Factors driving the correction include renewed ETF outflows, macroeconomic uncertainty surrounding U.S. interest rates, and liquidations from highly leveraged traders—a common driver during volatile periods.
Market observers note that conversations around why Bitcoin is dropping have intensified, with many citing the combination of institutional repositioning and the unwinding of aggressive long positions.
Bounce Attempts and Key Resistance Levels
According to trader Ted (@TedPillows)—a market analyst known for on-chain commentary and macro-cycle insights with more than one full crypto cycle of published chart work—Bitcoin briefly tapped the $89,000 region before stabilizing. Ted highlighted the importance of a key resistance level: “The crucial level to reclaim is $94,000, and if that happens, Bitcoin could rally toward $98,000–$100,000,” Ted wrote.
Bitcoin rebounds from $89K as traders watch for a $94K breakout that could drive a rally toward $98K–$100K. Source: @TedPillows via X
His assessment is based on a 1-day candlestick analysis tracking Bitcoin’s price action from May to November 2025. This timeframe captures several recent support tests and failed breakouts, suggesting that $94K represents a structurally meaningful threshold for trend reversal.
Reactions to Ted’s analysis show the market remains divided. While some traders view the $94K level as a pivot for recovery, others remain cautious due to persistent ETF-related volatility. Data from Farside Investors shows that spot Bitcoin ETFs saw over 19,000 BTC in net outflows across five consecutive sessions, though the streak broke on November 19 with $75 million in inflows, hinting at early signs of stabilization.
Bullish Outlook Points to a Potential $99K Rebound
Another technical review came from crypto analyst Ali (@ali_charts), known for chart-driven research and commentary on market structure. Ali suggested Bitcoin could attempt a stronger recovery if current support levels continue to hold. “Bitcoin could bounce to $99,000,” Ali reported in his market update.
Bitcoin ($BTC) shows signs of recovery, with a potential bounce toward $99,000 in sight. Source: @ali_charts via X
His chart of the BTC/USDT perpetual futures contract on Binance highlights a potential reversal pattern forming after Bitcoin’s retreat from $108,000 earlier in November. The setup emphasizes trendline compression—a common signal that volatility may expand once price exits a narrowing range.
Community responses to Ali’s analysis reflect a broad mix of expectations. While some traders pointed to long-term targets above $150,000, others warned that such projections are speculative and depend on major shifts in liquidity and ETF demand that are not yet visible. Analysts tracking the Bitcoin price forecast market caution that price movement continues to be heavily influenced by flows from large issuers such as BlackRock, Fidelity, and the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust.
$82,045 Emerges as a Major Support Zone
Ali’s analysis highlights the critical importance of the $82,045 support level, backed by Glassnode’s URPD data showing more than 825,000 BTC accumulated near this price. This makes it one of Bitcoin’s strongest long-term holder zones, especially after the market saw $825 million in realized losses—capitulation levels that surpassed both the FTX collapse and the COVID-19 crash. Ali notes that holding above this region could help form a medium-term bottom, while a drop below it may expose deeper support around $76,000.
Bitcoin ($BTC) finds critical support at $82,045, a key level for potential stabilization. Source: @ali_charts via X
Market conditions are beginning to stabilize as long liquidations cool and leverage resets across major exchanges. Spot Bitcoin ETFs also posted $75.47 million in inflows on November 19, breaking a five-day streak of heavy outflows. Analysts say that if ETF demand continues to improve, it could provide the momentum Bitcoin needs to rebound from current levels and potentially retest higher resistance zones before the year ends.
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin’s decline toward the $86K region comes at a critical moment, with the $82,045 support zone emerging as one of the most important structural levels in the current cycle. With more than 825,000 BTC accumulated around this price band, on-chain data suggests that long-term holders still view this range as a strong value area despite recent capitulation signals.
Whether Bitcoin can rebound toward $100K before the year ends will largely depend on how the price reacts to this support zone and whether ETF inflows continue to stabilize after the recent streak of outflows. If bulls can defend the $82K–$83K range and momentum returns, Bitcoin may still reclaim the $94K resistance and attempt a fresh push toward six figures.
