Predict.fun launched what it describes as the first real-time “mention-based” prediction market, allowing users to bet on specific words Changpeng Zhao (CZ) will say during his upcoming BNB Chain AMA.
The market went live ahead of the December 18 session, scheduled for 16:30 UTC+4, and is directly integrated with a livestream of the event.
Real-Time Prediction Market Tracks CZ Mentions During BNB Chain AMA
Dubbed the “CZ Mention Market,” the product enables participants to place wagers on whether CZ will mention certain keywords above predefined thresholds during the AMA.
These include whether he will say “BNB” more than five times, “Builder” more than three times, or reference other names and topics during the discussion.
According to data cited by crypto analyst AB Kuai Dong, the market quickly converged on a strong consensus.
“I checked, and there’s a 94% probability that people have already bet on CZ definitely mentioning the term BNB more than 5 times,” Kuai Dong wrote, highlighting how trader expectations formed even before the AMA began.
Kuai Dong noted that the setup reflects how prediction markets are increasingly being applied to nontraditional events. He compared the experience to audience voting during live entertainment shows, but with outcomes driven by crypto-based markets rather than centralized platforms.
“Everything has become predictable, from politics at the top to a single online live stream at the bottom,” he added.
Predict.fun framed the launch as a milestone for the sector, stating it was introducing the concept “for the first time in prediction market history.”
The platform emphasized that users would be able to follow the outcomes in real-time through the integrated market page livestream as the AMA takes place.
The AMA itself, hosted by BNB Chain, is positioned as a year-end review and forward-looking discussion. In an announcement shared by BNB Chain, the session is described as a summary of 2025 and an outlook on the future development of builders, the network itself, and the broader ecosystem.
Prediction Markets Expand Into Real-Time Attention Trading
CZ first entered the prediction market space in early December, highlighting that user funds can generate yield while awaiting outcomes.
Just one day before CZ’s update, Trust Wallet released its Predictions feature, with Web3 prediction market protocol Myriad joining as the first integration partner.
Therefore, the CZ Mention Market also highlights the growing experimentation within prediction markets, which have expanded quickly in 2025. It comes amid clearer regulatory frameworks in several jurisdictions.
Platforms have increasingly expanded their coverage beyond elections and macroeconomic indicators to encompass cultural events, livestreams, and public statements.
Predict.fun has drawn additional attention due to its backing, with YZI Labs (formerly Binance Labs) among the investors. While Predict.fun operates independently, the association highlights the growing institutional interest in prediction market models.
Beyond Predict.fun, YZI Labs also backs Opinion.Trade, a prediction platform that recently outpaced Kalshi and Polymarket with $1.5 billion weekly volume.
This indicates growing competition in the space, with Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Gemini joining the fray.
These developments illustrate how prediction markets are growing toward finer-grained, real-time use cases, where even word frequency in a live broadcast can become a tradable signal.
Whether such formats represent a durable expansion of the sector or a niche experiment remains an open question.
As the BNB Chain AMA approaches, the CZ Mention Market serves as a case study in how crypto-native tools are increasingly intersecting with live media, public figures, and community-driven events—turning attention itself into a measurable and tradable outcome.
