Monero Price Forecast: XMR consolidates near yearly highs as bullish signals point to $500 breakout

Markets 2025-12-22 18:11
  • Monero's price hovers around $477 on Monday, after reaching a new yearly high of $497 last week.

  • Bullish sentiment strengthens as social dominance, open interest, and whale activity rise.

  • The technical outlook suggests further upside, with bulls aiming for levels above $500.

Monero (XMR) continues to trade above $477 at the time of writing on Monday, after hitting a fresh yearly high last week. Rising bullish signals across on-chain and derivatives data, combined with a constructive technical setup, suggest a move above $500.

Monero’s on-chain and derivatives data show bullish bias

Santiment’s Social Dominance metric for Monero supports a bullish outlook. The index measures the share of XMR-related discussions across the cryptocurrency media. It has been on an upward trend since mid-December, rising to 1.41% on Monday, the highest level since November 10. This rise indicates that market interest and sentiment among XMR investors are strengthening.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR consolidates near yearly highs as bullish signals point to 0 breakout

XMR social dominance chart. Source: Santiment

On the derivatives front, CoinGlass’ data show that futures OI in Monero at exchanges surged to $99.70 million on Sunday, up from $54.01 million on December 10, and currently stands at $95.42 million. An increasing OI represents new or additional money entering the market and new buying, which could fuel the current XMR price rally.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR consolidates near yearly highs as bullish signals point to 0 breakout

CryptoQuant’s summary data supports the positive outlook, as Monero’s spot and futures markets show large whale orders, signaling a continuation of an upward trend.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR consolidates near yearly highs as bullish signals point to 0 breakout

Monero Price Forecast: XMR bulls aiming for levels above $500

Monero price found support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (from the November 9 high of $470 to the November 21 low of $320) at $413.04 on Thursday, and rallied over 14% to a new yearly high of $497 on Saturday. As of Monday, XMR is trading at around $478.02.

If XMR continues its upward momentum, it could extend the rally to the 141.40% Fibonacci extension level at $531.73.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is 69, near the overbought level, indicating strong bullish momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover last week, and the rising green histograms above the neutral level suggest continuation of an upward trend.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR consolidates near yearly highs as bullish signals point to 0 breakout
XMR/USDT daily chart 

On the other hand, if XMR corrects, it could extend the decline toward the key support at $413.04.

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This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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