U.S.-based research firm Fundstrat Global Advisors is facing scrutiny after leaked internal documents revealed a notable gap between its internal crypto market outlook and public statements made by senior executives.
WTF!!!?
Tom Lee’s firm “Fundstrat” warned internal clients of a major H1 2026 correction.With Targets:
BTC $60k–$65k
ETH $1800–$2000
SOL $50–$75 pic.twitter.com/cm9H8y8Prf— Money Ape (@TheMoneyApe) December 20, 2025
According to the leaked materials, Sean Farrell, Fundstrat’s Head of Digital Asset Strategy, has outlined a far more cautious forecast than the bullish projections frequently shared by the firm’s leadership in public forums.
Internal Report Warns of a Major Crypto Market Pullback
Fundstrat’s internal client report predicts that the cryptocurrency market could enter a correction phase in the first half of 2026.
The document suggests that Bitcoin (BTC) could decline to a range of USD 60,000–65,000, while major altcoins may face steeper downside pressure:
Ethereum (ETH): USD 1,800–2,000
Solana (SOL): USD 50–75
Farrell reportedly cited tighter financial conditions, ongoing policy uncertainty, and macroeconomic headwinds as key risk factors. The internal guidance emphasizes risk management and defensive positioning during periods of elevated volatility.
Tom Lee Maintains an Aggressive Bullish Stance
The cautious internal outlook stands in sharp contrast to the public comments made by Tom Lee, Fundstrat’s co-founder and managing partner.
In recent media appearances, Lee has reiterated his bullish thesis, stating that Bitcoin could reach USD 200,000 by the end of January 2026. He has consistently pointed to supportive macro trends and growing institutional adoption as catalysts for higher prices.
Lee has also argued that Ethereum remains undervalued, suggesting that prices around USD 3,000 fail to reflect its long-term potential.
Mixed Messaging Raises Investor Questions
The divergence between Fundstrat’s internal research and its public commentary has sparked debate among market participants. Investors are questioning how to interpret conflicting signals from the same firm, particularly when internal materials advise caution while public messaging remains optimistic.
Notably, the leaked report does not frame the anticipated downturn as the end of the crypto bull market. Instead, it describes the expected decline as a “tactical correction,” suggesting that price weakness could present attractive buying opportunities later in the year.
As digital asset markets grow increasingly influenced by macroeconomic forces, the Fundstrat episode highlights the challenges investors face in navigating mixed narratives from influential research providers.
