Research Flags 20% To 50% Of Bitcoin As Potentially Vulnerable To Quantum Threats

Bitcoin 2026-01-22 00:34

Research Flags 20% To 50% Of Bitcoin As Potentially Vulnerable To Quantum Threats

Bitcoin(BTC) faces growing scrutiny from institutional investors over quantum computing risks, with new research suggesting that between $650 billion and $750 billion worth of the cryptocurrency could be vulnerable to future attacks targeting its cryptographic security.

What Happened: Quantum Risk Reshapes Portfolio Strategy

Jefferies strategist Christopher Wood removed a 10% Bitcoin allocation from his flagship "Greed & Fear" model portfolio, reallocating to physical gold and mining equities.

Wood cited concerns that quantum computers could one day break Bitcoin's Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm keys, which secure transactions on the network.

A 2025 Chaincode Labs study estimated that 20% to 50% of circulating Bitcoin addresses remain vulnerable to future quantum attacks due to reused public keys.

That represents roughly 6.26 million BTC. Bitcoin has underperformed gold significantly this year, falling 6.5% in 2026 while gold surged 55%.

In the meantime, according to Grayscale's updated outlook on digital assets, Bitcoin faces no immediate price threat from quantum computing in 2026. The investment firm's latest research acknowledges the theoretical risk but dismisses its near-term market impact based on current technology timelines.

Also Read: The One Signal Everyone Missed Before Bitcoin Crashed And Wiped Out Nearly $1B

Why It Matters: Institutions Diverge on Risk

David Duong of Coinbase identified two major threats from quantum computing: breaking ECDSA keys and targeting SHA-256, which underpins Bitcoin's proof-of-work system.

Not all institutions are retreating.

Harvard increased its Bitcoin allocation by nearly 240%, raising its investment from $117 million to $443 million in the third quarter. Morgan Stanley began advising wealth management clients to allocate up to 4% of portfolios to digital assets.

Charles Hoskinson of Cardano warned that premature adoption of quantum-resistant cryptography could reduce network efficiency.

DARPA's Quantum Blockchain Initiative suggests meaningful threats may not emerge until the 2030s, though rapid advances in quantum hardware could accelerate that timeline.

Read Next: The Economist Who Sounded The Alarm Before 2008 Now Warns Of A Far Bigger Crisis

Share to:

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Curated Series

SuperEx Popular Science Articles Column

SuperEx Popular Science Articles Column

This collection features informative articles about SuperEx, aiming to simplify complex cryptocurrency concepts for a wider audience. It covers the basics of trading, blockchain technology, and the features of the SuperEx platform. Through easy-to-understand content, it helps users navigate the world of digital assets with confidence and clarity.

Unstaked related news and market dynamics research

Unstaked related news and market dynamics research

Unstaked (UNSD) is a blockchain platform integrating AI agents for automated community engagement and social media interactions. Its native token supports governance, staking, and ecosystem features. This special feature explores Unstaked’s market updates, token dynamics, and platform development.

XRP News and Research

XRP News and Research

This series focuses on XRP, covering the latest news, market dynamics, and in-depth research. Featured analysis includes price trends, regulatory developments, and ecosystem growth, providing a clear overview of XRP's position and potential in the cryptocurrency market.

How do beginners trade options?How does option trading work?

How do beginners trade options?How does option trading work?

This special feature introduces the fundamentals of options trading for beginners, explaining how options work, their main types, and the mechanics behind trading them. It also explores key strategies, potential risks, and practical tips, helping readers build a clear foundation to approach the options market with confidence.

What are the risks of investing in cryptocurrency?

What are the risks of investing in cryptocurrency?

This special feature covers the risks of investing in cryptocurrency, explaining common challenges such as market volatility, security vulnerabilities, regulatory uncertainties, and potential scams. It also provides analysis of risk management strategies and mitigation techniques, helping readers gain a clear understanding of how to navigate the crypto market safely.