Can Bitcoin Hold $67K After Luna-Level Loss Spike?

Bitcoin 2026-02-12 17:00

Can Bitcoin Hold K After Luna-Level Loss Spike?

Bitcoin (BTC) realized losses have surged to approximately $2.3 billion on a seven-day basis — levels last seen during the June 2022 Luna and UST crash — but the current sell-off is unfolding near $67,000 rather than $19,000, suggesting a cyclical flush of late buyers rather than systemic market failure.

What Happened: Realized Losses Spike

The Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss seven-day moving average recently dropped to around -$1.99 billion, according to Axel Adler's on-chain assessment. The metric tracks the balance between realized profits and losses from coins moving on-chain, offering a smoothed view of investor behavior.

It slightly recovered to roughly -$1.73 billion in the following days but still represents the second-deepest negative reading on record. Net losses have remained below -$1.7 billion for several consecutive sessions, indicating persistent seller pressure and ongoing capitulation among investors who entered at higher prices.

Historically, a sustained return above zero has marked transitions back to profit-dominant market phases.

Also Read: XRP Drops 33% But Nine-Year Trendline Holds Strong

Why It Matters: Price Context Differs

The headline figure looks alarming, but the broader backdrop tells a more nuanced story. In June 2022, comparable loss volumes occurred with Bitcoin trading near $19,000, during a period of structural network deterioration and cascading liquidations across the industry.

This time, similar realized losses are playing out around $67,000, after Bitcoin lost the key $70,000 support level. Adler's data suggests the current wave reflects the flushing out of late-cycle buyers and leveraged positions rather than a repeat of 2022's collapse.

The $60,000–$62,000 region now emerges as the next critical support area, aligning with prior consolidation zones. Holding that range could stabilize sentiment; a break below it could open the door to deeper retracement.

Read Next: Ethereum Loses $2,000 Level Amid Bearish Momentum

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This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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