The cryptocurrency market is showing early signs of recovery after a turbulent October, with investors closely watching key technical signals and pending regulatory decisions that could reshape digital asset valuations.
Bitcoin has stabilized above critical support levels, Ethereum continues to attract institutional flows, and now XRP is emerging as one of the most discussed assets among traders expecting a rebound.
XRP could be gearing up for a major rebound after technical indicators flashed a bullish signal this week. According to crypto analyst Ali, the TD Sequential indicator has turned positive for XRP, suggesting that a new uptrend might be on the horizon following weeks of decline.
TD Sequential flashes a buy signal on $XRP. Looks like the rebound is about to begin! pic.twitter.com/gSt6VyJDZl
— Ali (@ali_charts) October 23, 2025
At press time, XRP is trading around $2.39, showing early signs of stabilization after a volatile October. The renewed optimism arrives just as investors await updates on several pending XRP spot ETF applications, which analysts believe could significantly reshape the asset’s price trajectory if approved.
ETF Approval Seen as Potential Game Changer
The prospect of an XRP spot exchange-traded fund has fueled intense speculation in recent weeks. Several issuers, including Grayscale and Bitwise, submitted filings earlier this year, but the ongoing U.S. government shutdown has halted progress at the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), delaying any official decision.
Industry experts remain confident that once normal regulatory operations resume, the SEC could move forward with approvals. Oliver Michel, CEO of the German investment firm Tokentus, stated that the regulator’s eventual green light would mark a pivotal moment for institutional access to XRP.
Analysts Expect Billions in Capital Inflows
If these ETFs go live, market strategists foresee large inflows similar to those seen with Bitcoin and Ethereum funds. Steven McClurg, CEO of Canary Capital, previously estimated that XRP ETFs could attract $5–10 billion within their first month of trading—an influx that could dramatically lift prices even at the lower end of projections.
For comparison, Ethereum ETFs initially struggled with outflows of nearly $480 million during their first four months but have since rebounded to more than $14.5 billion in cumulative inflows. Many analysts see XRP following a comparable recovery pattern once broader investor confidence sets in.
Potential Price Scenarios Based on Bitcoin ETF Benchmarks
Recent data from SoSoValue shows that Bitcoin spot ETFs have amassed $61.8 billion in total inflows, with $26.6 billion arriving in 2025 alone. If XRP ETFs capture even half that yearly figure over the next two years—around $10.6 billion—the impact could be monumental.
While inflows don’t directly translate to market capitalization, prior studies suggest a strong multiplier effect. In one example, an inflow of just $61 million reportedly increased XRP’s total market cap by $16.6 billion, indicating a powerful 272x correlation. Even using a conservative multiplier of 90x, the projected ETF inflows could push XRP’s total valuation close to $1.1 trillion, implying a potential price near $18.40 per token.
Market Sentiment Turns Positive
As traders digest these projections, technical momentum appears to be aligning with fundamental optimism. The TD Sequential buy signal spotted by analyst Ali is historically known for marking the end of local downtrends and the beginning of strong rebounds.
With XRP’s price consolidating above the $2.30 zone, the setup suggests growing accumulation ahead of a possible ETF-driven breakout. The confluence of technical and macro factors has reignited hopes that XRP could soon reclaim higher price levels—potentially setting a new record if ETF approvals materialize before year-end.
