Bitcoin extends its recovery above $111,000 backed by stable retail demand.
Ethereum bulls battle to break the 100-day EMA resistance amid persistent ETF outflows.
XRP rebounds as its technical picture improves, supported by a MACD buy signal.
Bitcoin (BTC) trends higher for the second day, trading above $111,000 at the time of writing on Friday. The steady price increase from a weekly low of $106,666 mirrors a gradual sentiment growth across the cryptocurrency market.
Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are signaling a modest bullish trend ahead of the weekend, supported by stable retail demand. Ethereum is holding above $3,900, while XRP is trading around $2.45 at the time of writing.
Data spotlight: Bitcoin bulls build on retail demand
The Bitcoin derivatives market has stabilized over the last two weeks, following the largest deleveraging event on October 10, which liquidated $19 billion in crypto assets. BTC's futures Open Interest (OI) averages at $69 billion, down from approximately $90 billion on October 10. This also marks a slight improvement in futures demand from a low of $67.70 billion posted on Thursday, underpinning stable retail demand.
OI refers to the notional value of outstanding futures contracts; hence, a steady increase is key to sustaining a recovery in Bitcoin's price. It shows that traders are increasing risk exposure, anticipating stability and short-term price increases.
Bitcoin Futures Open Interest | Source: CoinGlass
XRP, on the other hand, has seen a sharp rebound in the OI-weighted funding rate to 0.0059% on Friday from 0.0032% on Wednesday. The OI weighted funding rate tracks the level of trader interest in XRP. A sustained increase signals that traders are confident about rejoining the market, piling into long positions, which strengthens the token's short-term bullish picture.
XRP OI Weighted Funding Rate | Source: CoinGlass
As for Ethereum, institutional interest remains significantly suppressed, as evidenced by the $128 million in outflows from Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) on Thursday. None of the nine US-based ETH ETFs saw inflows, with Fidelity's FETH posting $77 million in outflows, followed by BlackRock's ETHA with $23 million.
Apart from Tuesday's net inflow of $142 million, Ethereum ETFs have experienced steady outflows every business day since October 16, underscoring the lack of conviction in the asset's short-term recovery.
Ethereum ETF stats | Source: SoSoValue
Chart of the day: Bitcoin extends recovery
Bitcoin is stretching its up leg above $111,000 at the time of writing, as risk appetite slowly returns in the cryptocurrency market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish crossover and position at 47 on the daily chart indicate that the bullish momentum is poised to increase.
Traders should also watch for a potential buy signal from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator in the same daily range, which would encourage investors to increase risk exposure and contribute to buying pressure. A buy signal occurs when the blue MACD line crosses and closes above the red signal line, as the indicator generally trends higher.
Bulls are targeting a daily close above the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $112,675 and the 50-day EMA at $113,352 to ascertain the bullish momentum heading into the weekend.
BTC/USDT daily chart
Still, investors should be cautiously optimistic, particularly amid the ongoing trade standoff between the United States (US) and China. Profit-taking could cut the uptrend short, leading to a reversal below $110,000. The 200-day EMA at $108,113 is in line to absorb selling pressure if decline accelerates.
Altcoins update: Ethereum, XRP edge higher
Ethereum is slowly gaining momentum toward the $4,000 mark while bulls battle resistance at the 100-day EMA at $3,964. This is the second day of steady recovery, as bulls work to regain control.
The RSI moves to 45, backing the short-term fading of bearish momentum. A sustained movement above the midline would reinforce the bullish grip, increasing the odds of a breakout past the $4,000 level.
The MACD indicator might confirm a buy signal in upcoming sessions if the blue line crosses above the red signal line. This signal calls on investors to increase risk exposure, thus building momentum.
Still, if traders book early profits, a correction could follow. Therefore, traders should not lose sight of key levels such as the $3,680 demand area and the 200-day EMA at $3,575, both of which will serve as support.
ETH/USDT daily chart
As for XRP, bulls are taking intraday control of the trend, propelling the price above $2.45 at the time of writing. The RSI at 43 and rising on the daily chart supports the short-term bullish momentum, with a breakout above the 200-day EMA at $2.61 in focus.
Meanwhile, the MACD indicator is confirming a buy signal, prompting traders to increase exposure in upcoming sessions.
XRP/USDT daily chart
Still, traders must be cautiously optimistic as sentiment remains shaky in the broader cryptocurrency market. Any signs of a weak technical outlook could lead to rushed profit-taking, increasing the odds of a reversal toward support at $2.40 and $2.18, tested over the past week.
