November 2025 saw $2.5 billion in crypto ETF outflows, primarily driven by hedge fund basis trades and arbitrage strategies, according to analysts. Bloomberg's James Seyffart highlighted that these redemptions were minor compared to total inflows over the past 18 months. On-chain data indicated whale accumulation and exchange withdrawals, suggesting that ETF redemptions do not necessarily reflect a decrease in demand. Experts, including Arthur Hayes, warned that ETF flows often mislead, as they are influenced by arbitrage and custody optimization rather than genuine market sentiment. Alessio Loehning noted a trend of institutions moving assets to direct custody rather than exiting the market. Analysts from JPMorgan advised against interpreting these outflows as bearish, linking them to liquidity shocks and leveraged liquidations. Looking forward, over 100 digital asset ETFs are expected to launch in 2026, with Ethereum ETFs potentially attracting $15 billion in capital.
Crypto ETF Outflows Driven by Arbitrage, Not Institutional Selling
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