A Polymarket account has achieved an all-time profit of approximately $82.6K by trading on OpenAI timeline markets, raising questions about the nature of its success. The account, which has made 37 predictions, shows significant gains from bets on OpenAI-related events, including a $41.5K profit from a "YES" position on the OpenAI browser by October 31 and a $24.4K profit from a "NO" position on the Frontier model by December 9. The concentrated success in OpenAI markets has led to speculation about potential insider trading. However, several alternative explanations exist, such as the trader having an information advantage without being an insider, exploiting market inefficiencies, or employing strategic risk management. The situation highlights the evolving role of prediction markets, which can serve as either leak channels or signal channels depending on the nature of the participants. Observers are cautioned against jumping to conclusions about the trader's identity or methods. Instead, they are encouraged to view these markets as probabilistic tools rather than definitive proof of insider knowledge. Any suspicions of illicit trading should be reported to the platform rather than pursued through identity investigations.