Matrixport's latest analysis indicates that Bitcoin is entering a structural adjustment phase, marked by a monthly close below the 12-month moving average. Historically, this has been a bearish indicator associated with the end of bull cycles. The market is currently influenced by demand slowdowns, technical breakdowns, and U.S. political and liquidity cycles, including the upcoming 2026 midterms and rising unemployment rates. These factors suggest a shift from trend-driven to structure-driven market dynamics, with increased volatility anticipated before the next cycle. Investors should prepare for potential market fluctuations as these macroeconomic and cyclical signals continue to evolve.