U.S. Government Shutdown Risk Increases to 38% Amid Budget Stalemate

2025-12-27 16:16

The likelihood of a U.S. government shutdown has risen to 38% as Congress adjourned without reaching a budget agreement. With the deadline set for January 31, nine spending bills remain unresolved, exacerbating political gridlock. This uncertainty is causing concern in liquidity and crypto markets, with Polymarket data indicating heightened anxiety over risk-on assets. The ongoing impasse may drive investors towards Bitcoin, which is perceived as a hedge against prolonged governmental dysfunction.

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