Kalshi and Polymarket Dominate 97.5% of Prediction Market in 2025

News Flash 2026-03-06 08:45

Kalshi and Polymarket have emerged as the dominant players in the prediction market, collectively holding 97.5% of the market share in 2025. The global forecast market is projected to reach a trading volume of approximately $50.25 billion this year, with Kalshi and Polymarket leading the charge. Kalshi reported a notional trading volume of $23.8 billion, driven by its compliance-focused strategy that attracts institutional capital. Meanwhile, Polymarket achieved a trading volume of $22 billion, leveraging its crypto-native, permissionless model to maintain high event coverage and liquidity. The prediction market industry is experiencing a significant transformation, with regulatory clarity and increased institutional interest driving growth. In 2024, multiple U.S. states and the CFTC adopted clearer regulatory stances, paving the way for traditional institutional funds to enter the market. This shift has redefined prediction markets as tools for generating alpha, rather than mere gambling platforms. As a result, prediction markets are evolving into a hybrid of financial exchanges and information production mechanisms, with Kalshi and Polymarket at the forefront of this evolution.

Share to:

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Curated Series

SuperEx Popular Science Articles Column

SuperEx Popular Science Articles Column

This collection features informative articles about SuperEx, aiming to simplify complex cryptocurrency concepts for a wider audience. It covers the basics of trading, blockchain technology, and the features of the SuperEx platform. Through easy-to-understand content, it helps users navigate the world of digital assets with confidence and clarity.

Unstaked related news and market dynamics research

Unstaked related news and market dynamics research

Unstaked (UNSD) is a blockchain platform integrating AI agents for automated community engagement and social media interactions. Its native token supports governance, staking, and ecosystem features. This special feature explores Unstaked’s market updates, token dynamics, and platform development.

XRP News and Research

XRP News and Research

This series focuses on XRP, covering the latest news, market dynamics, and in-depth research. Featured analysis includes price trends, regulatory developments, and ecosystem growth, providing a clear overview of XRP's position and potential in the cryptocurrency market.

How do beginners trade options?How does option trading work?

How do beginners trade options?How does option trading work?

This special feature introduces the fundamentals of options trading for beginners, explaining how options work, their main types, and the mechanics behind trading them. It also explores key strategies, potential risks, and practical tips, helping readers build a clear foundation to approach the options market with confidence.

What are the risks of investing in cryptocurrency?

What are the risks of investing in cryptocurrency?

This special feature covers the risks of investing in cryptocurrency, explaining common challenges such as market volatility, security vulnerabilities, regulatory uncertainties, and potential scams. It also provides analysis of risk management strategies and mitigation techniques, helping readers gain a clear understanding of how to navigate the crypto market safely.