U.S. Treasury yields are experiencing upward pressure as the conflict between the United States and Iran intensifies, with the 10-year yield reaching approximately 4.42%, a nine-month high. The ongoing geopolitical tensions have led to a sharp increase in oil prices, raising inflation concerns and pushing government bond yields higher. Market analysts suggest that if the conflict persists, Treasury yields could rise by an additional 200 basis points, potentially exceeding 5%. This rise in yields is exerting downward pressure on Bitcoin, which has historically performed well during geopolitical conflicts. However, the current bond market dynamics are causing Bitcoin's momentum to wane, with predictions that its price could fall below $50,000 in 2026. The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 index suggests that prolonged conflict and elevated oil prices could further impact Bitcoin's valuation. Market observers are closely watching the situation, as any escalation could lead to increased selling pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin.