Polymarket Launches Prediction Market on Trump Mobile Phone Release

2026-04-01 19:46

Polymarket has introduced a prediction market to speculate on the release of a Trump Mobile phone before April 30 or June 30. Current probabilities stand at 6% for a release before April 30 and 22% before June 30. The market will resolve as "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a phone, including the T1 model, by the specified dates, with availability for public purchase. Announcements or pre-orders do not qualify. The resolution will rely on information from Trump Mobile and other reliable sources. Previously, Trump Mobile delayed its gold-colored smartphone launch, and as of January 2026, the T1 phone had not been shipped, according to The Verge.

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