Eurozone PMI Steady at 52.2, ECB Rate Cuts May Be Limited by Inflation

News Flash 2026-05-04 17:25

The Eurozone's manufacturing sector maintained its expansion in April 2026, with the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) holding steady at 52.2. This stability suggests continued economic growth despite geopolitical tensions affecting energy prices. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank's (ECB) Survey of Professional Forecasters projects inflation to average 2.7% in 2026, slightly above previous estimates, while GDP growth is revised down to 1.0% due to rising energy costs. Market pricing currently indicates a 100% expectation of a 50+ basis points rate cut at the ECB's April 2026 meeting. However, the stable PMI and elevated inflation forecasts suggest the ECB may prioritize inflation control over aggressive rate cuts. This reflects market participants' cautious stance as they assess the ECB's potential policy path amid ongoing inflation concerns.

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