Polymarket is embroiled in a dispute over its prediction market regarding whether Strategy sold Bitcoin before May 31. Initially set to resolve as "No," the market shifted dramatically after Strategy revealed a sale of 32 BTC last week, causing the probability of "Yes" to spike to 85% before stabilizing at 51%. Trading volume in this market has exceeded $20 million. The market's resolution hinges on whether Strategy sold any Bitcoin before the specified date, with data from MSTR and on-chain sources serving as primary references. The "Yes" camp argues the sale is evident, while the "No" side contends the announcement's timing post-May 31 should negate the sale's consideration. Polymarket has stated that any clarification will be issued by June 1 at 1:00 PM Eastern Time, with the market settling at that time regardless of further statements.
Polymarket Dispute Over BTC Sale Prediction Market Intensifies
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