The United States faces heightened recession risks in 2025 as multiple economic indicators signal distress. Moody’s Analytics reports that 22 states and the District of Columbia are already experiencing economic downturns, with 13 additional states on the brink. Labor market data reveals the weakest hiring plans in 14 years, while credit quality deteriorates, marked by a drop in the average FICO score to 715, the largest annual decline since 2009. The commercial real estate sector is also under pressure, with office CMBS delinquency rates reaching 11.7%, surpassing the 2008 financial crisis peak. A looming government shutdown poses further threats, potentially costing $15 billion in GDP weekly. Experts caution that unless hiring and credit conditions improve, the likelihood of a recession will increase.