Solana Price Forecast: SOL flashes breakout potential on steady derivatives, ETF demand

Markets 2025-12-09 10:19
  • Solana rises nearly 5% on Monday, with bulls aiming to exceed the overhead resistance trendline.

  • Derivatives data indicate a rise in funding rate, signaling reduced bearish interest among traders. 

  • Solana ETFs recorded mild inflows last week, suggesting reduced institutional interest, but marked the sixth straight week of inflows.

Solana (SOL) edges higher by almost 5% at press time on Monday after a Doji candle formation on Sunday. Derivatives data indicate a rise in funding rate, signaling reduced incentive for traders to hold short positions. Meanwhile, the Solana-focused Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) mark their sixth consecutive week of inflows, indicating a steady interest from institutional investors.

The technical outlook of Solana puts a local resistance trendline that has remained intact since October 6 in focus.

Steady demand for Solana signals improving sentiment

Solana’s futures Open Interest (OI) remains steady above $7 billion, suggesting a near flat capital flow in SOL derivatives. CoinGlass data shows SOL futures OI at $7.16 billion on Monday, broadly stable over the last 24 hours.

However, the rise in OI-weighted funding rate indicates that the interest in holding short positions has significantly decreased. The funding rate stands at -0.0018%, up from -0.170% on Sunday. If funding rates flip positive, it would signal a rise in bullish confidence as bulls will pay a premium to hold long positions.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL flashes breakout potential on steady derivatives, ETF demand

SOL derivatives data. Source: CoinGlass.

Meanwhile, the institutional interest in Solana has decreased, with $20.30 million in net weekly inflows into SOL ETFs, down from $108.34 million the previous week. Still, the $15.68 million in inflows on Friday extended the streak of weekly inflows to six consecutive weeks. 

Solana Price Forecast: SOL flashes breakout potential on steady derivatives, ETF demand
SOL ETF data. Source: Sosovalue.

Solana gains traction, aiming to challenge a crucial resistance trendline

Solana floats above the $121- $127 demand zone on Monday, aiming for the resistance trendline connecting the October 6 and 27 highs, near $140. The short-term recovery in the high-speed blockchain token could confirm the bullish breakout with a decisive daily close above $140. 

Solana’s potential breakout rally could face opposition from the declining 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $153 and $173, respectively. 

The technical indicators on the daily chart suggest a positive shift in trend momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45 points, upside toward midline, signals a neutral shift from a bearish bias. 

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) extends a steady upward trend above its signal line, signaling bullish momentum on edge as a potential crossover could flash renewed bearish pressure.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL flashes breakout potential on steady derivatives, ETF demand
SOL/USDT daily price chart.

Looking down, if SOL closes below $121, the bears could target April’s low at $95.

Share to:

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Curated Series

SuperEx Popular Science Articles Column

SuperEx Popular Science Articles Column

This collection features informative articles about SuperEx, aiming to simplify complex cryptocurrency concepts for a wider audience. It covers the basics of trading, blockchain technology, and the features of the SuperEx platform. Through easy-to-understand content, it helps users navigate the world of digital assets with confidence and clarity.

Unstaked related news and market dynamics research

Unstaked related news and market dynamics research

Unstaked (UNSD) is a blockchain platform integrating AI agents for automated community engagement and social media interactions. Its native token supports governance, staking, and ecosystem features. This special feature explores Unstaked’s market updates, token dynamics, and platform development.

XRP News and Research

XRP News and Research

This series focuses on XRP, covering the latest news, market dynamics, and in-depth research. Featured analysis includes price trends, regulatory developments, and ecosystem growth, providing a clear overview of XRP's position and potential in the cryptocurrency market.

How do beginners trade options?How does option trading work?

How do beginners trade options?How does option trading work?

This special feature introduces the fundamentals of options trading for beginners, explaining how options work, their main types, and the mechanics behind trading them. It also explores key strategies, potential risks, and practical tips, helping readers build a clear foundation to approach the options market with confidence.

What are the risks of investing in cryptocurrency?

What are the risks of investing in cryptocurrency?

This special feature covers the risks of investing in cryptocurrency, explaining common challenges such as market volatility, security vulnerabilities, regulatory uncertainties, and potential scams. It also provides analysis of risk management strategies and mitigation techniques, helping readers gain a clear understanding of how to navigate the crypto market safely.