Renowned trader Peter Brandt believes Bitcoin is standing at a crossroads that could redefine its market trajectory.
According to him, if the world’s largest cryptocurrency doesn’t reach its cycle top in the coming days, it may enter a historic price discovery phase that sends it far beyond expectations.
Brandt’s analysis centers on Bitcoin’s long-observed four-year rhythm. Historically, each bull run has followed a pattern that links the distance between a market bottom and the next halving with the distance from that halving to the cycle peak. In this case, Bitcoin’s November 2022 low came 533 days before the April 2024 halving – implying the same duration ahead would point to early October 2025 as a potential high.
That time window coincides with Bitcoin’s recent breakout above $126,000 earlier this week. While some see this as a sign that the top may already be near, Brandt remains open to a surprise continuation. “When markets break their own timing patterns, the move that follows is often extraordinary,” he said, suggesting the next leg could carry Bitcoin toward $150,000 or even $185,000.
A Cycle Under Pressure
The veteran trader acknowledged that no market cycle lasts forever, though Bitcoin has so far maintained a perfect record across three full iterations. His comments arrive amid debate over whether the asset’s familiar rhythm still applies in an era of institutional inflows, exchange-traded funds, and corporate treasuries.
Analyst Rekt Capital recently echoed a similar observation, forecasting that if Bitcoin mirrors the 2020 pattern, the next major peak could form by October. Others, like economist Timothy Peterson, see growing odds that the price could surpass $140,000 before the end of the month.
Broader Market Optimism Persists
Despite diverging timelines, most analysts agree that Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains bullish. Figures such as Arthur Hayes and Joe Burnett predict the asset could eventually hit $250,000 by late 2025, driven by sustained liquidity and macro tailwinds.
For Brandt, however, the coming weeks will be decisive. If Bitcoin breaks free from its historic rhythm, he believes it could mark the beginning of a new, longer cycle – one that takes the market well beyond its previous boundaries.
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